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Fast Eddy's avatar

AT THE END OF TECHNOLOGICAL HUBRIS

There’s a fair chance that this might be the last article published here in 2024.

That being so, I’d like to start by thanking you for your interest and participation in our discussions during the year, and wishing you a very merry Festive Season and a happy and prosperous New Year.

Until quite recently, the idea that the global economy might reverse – my preferred term is inflect – from growth into contraction lived in the realm of radical and unwelcome theory.

But this has been the year in which theory has been borne out by experience.

Much as astronomers deduce the existence of invisible objects through their gravitational effects on other bodies, we can see the effects of economic inflexion in everything from social discontent and the “cost of living crisis” to deteriorating international relations and worsening financial fragility.

The causes of the ending and reversal of growth can be summed up in the single word depletion.

Fossil fuel energy has been depleted to a point where its material costs, measured here as the Energy Costs of Energy (ECoEs), are becoming unaffordable.

Non-energy natural resources, too, such as minerals, agricultural land and accessible water, have been depleted, as has the finite ability of the environment to absorb the effects of human economic activity.

https://surplusenergyeconomics.wordpress.com/2024/12/12/295-beans-on-tech/

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Hubbs's avatar

This is the baseball bat-in-your-face example of privatizing profits (if any to be had at this stage of depletion) and socializing losses (costs.)

Think of this as a candle burning at both ends. One end of the candle is the man made folly of fiat currency and debt. The other end is the phsyical laws of nature governing EROEI with the extraction of hydrocarbons, soil nutrients, water and minerals.

They are burning towards each other. When they meet, they both go out simultaneously.

Then what?

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