In the UK during the first weeks of the first lockdown in 2020, we experienced a shortage of eggs. Not because hens had stopped laying, but because of a shortage of small (six and twelve) egg cartons which, it turned out, were only manufactured in three factories in all of Europe.
In September 2000, it was unexpected shortages which threatened the biggest disruptions. The inability to deliver key purifications chemicals to the water industry, for example, threatened the supply of clean drinking water, with the risk of a return of diseases like dysentery and cholera. Hospital surgical departments in some regions were forced to close because of a shortage of suture – all of the other requirements for operating were present, but without the ability to sew the patients up afterward, operations had to be cancelled.
The term cascade refers to the interconnectedness of critical infrastructure systems such as the electricity grid, fuel system, water and sewage, transport, banking, and health. A failure in any one system will relatively quickly spread to the others. For example, in the event of a blackout, such as happened in Iberia last month, the water supply will be cut to large areas of the UK because of the reliance on electric pumping.
The same goes for – among other things – filling stations, supermarket tills, and ATMs. A loss of fuel resulting from oil shortages might cascade less rapidly. But as we saw in September 2000, once the supply of key components for critical infrastructure cannot be delivered, the cascade accelerates.
While I generally agree with the premise of systemic failure I am intensely wary of any predictions and projections using mathematical modelling coming from academia.
The likes of Neil Ferguson (Imperial College London) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neil_Ferguson_(epidemiologist) are guilty of spreading so much fear and bullshit surrounding so many influential topics one would have to assume that they are playing a role in some kind of social engineering psyop. No one can be that wrong and that stupid by accident... can they?
So yes... I'm wary of academia and mathematical modeling even when it comes to energy economics. The holes in the ship have been continuously plugged so far and I think it would be foolish to think it's all over before actually seeing what happens.
But lets say the Decision Makers are absolutely certain this ship is going to sink and there are no alternative moves. They must be the best actors the world has ever seen because they appear to be incredibly happy with the way things are going. Trump is going to drill baby drill. Heck they may even open up Antarctica and extract everything while they can. Siberia and Arctic are ripe for pillaging too.
And I'm not saying that everyone gets a piece of the pie but the head honchos and a billion serfs should have enough to keep them going for a while after 'refinement' 'streamlining' 'downsizing' 'restructuring' or whatever you want to call the process dropping the excess baggage.
Oh and if the devastating supply chain contagion collapse is going to happen anyway. Let's just say it really is cooked into the books and there's no way of avoiding its dramatic inevitability. Then why would the Decision Makers (who don't give a crap about the Hoi Polloi) go to all the trouble of putting them down before there's even a whiff of anything kicking off? Surely they would just allow the chaos to ensue and things would take care of themselves in a relatively short period of time. If they wanted they could drop gas bombs on unruly mobs. The rest would shrink away. They could use EMF to kill, maim or just defend the core. Some believe the infrastructure is in place for such a scenario. No need for the very cumbersome inoculation of 5 billion volunteers. That looks more like an experiment to me or a test to see where people stand.
So far it looks like 0.7% of global population have succumbed to the jabs. That's fatal reactions. Possibly hundreds of millions damaged but patched and mostly functional. Some maybe permanently chronically ill but not much more than usual given the state of health in developed countries. This demographic would just get their benefits, pensions and medications cut and that would be that. Mop up and move on.
If something kicks off in the next month or two then we may get that push over the edge that many appear to be lusting after but even then I wouldn't be surprised if something materialized out of left field to change the game yet again as it has done throughout our history.
Most people would not be killed immediately if they launched the nukes... and you'd end up with the epic suffering they are looking to avoid...
if this plays out as I expect ... everyone contracts a severe pneumonia like disease and dies rather peacefully... like the chickens who die from severe Mareks
Liebig’s Law applies
In the UK during the first weeks of the first lockdown in 2020, we experienced a shortage of eggs. Not because hens had stopped laying, but because of a shortage of small (six and twelve) egg cartons which, it turned out, were only manufactured in three factories in all of Europe.
In September 2000, it was unexpected shortages which threatened the biggest disruptions. The inability to deliver key purifications chemicals to the water industry, for example, threatened the supply of clean drinking water, with the risk of a return of diseases like dysentery and cholera. Hospital surgical departments in some regions were forced to close because of a shortage of suture – all of the other requirements for operating were present, but without the ability to sew the patients up afterward, operations had to be cancelled.
The term cascade refers to the interconnectedness of critical infrastructure systems such as the electricity grid, fuel system, water and sewage, transport, banking, and health. A failure in any one system will relatively quickly spread to the others. For example, in the event of a blackout, such as happened in Iberia last month, the water supply will be cut to large areas of the UK because of the reliance on electric pumping.
The same goes for – among other things – filling stations, supermarket tills, and ATMs. A loss of fuel resulting from oil shortages might cascade less rapidly. But as we saw in September 2000, once the supply of key components for critical infrastructure cannot be delivered, the cascade accelerates.
https://consciousnessofsheep.co.uk/2025/06/20/liebigs-law-applies/
Trump was reinstalled to prevent an Atlas Shrugged situation and to 'manage' the fall orderly, not haphazardly as intended by the Democrats.
While I generally agree with the premise of systemic failure I am intensely wary of any predictions and projections using mathematical modelling coming from academia.
The likes of Neil Ferguson (Imperial College London) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Neil_Ferguson_(epidemiologist) are guilty of spreading so much fear and bullshit surrounding so many influential topics one would have to assume that they are playing a role in some kind of social engineering psyop. No one can be that wrong and that stupid by accident... can they?
So yes... I'm wary of academia and mathematical modeling even when it comes to energy economics. The holes in the ship have been continuously plugged so far and I think it would be foolish to think it's all over before actually seeing what happens.
But lets say the Decision Makers are absolutely certain this ship is going to sink and there are no alternative moves. They must be the best actors the world has ever seen because they appear to be incredibly happy with the way things are going. Trump is going to drill baby drill. Heck they may even open up Antarctica and extract everything while they can. Siberia and Arctic are ripe for pillaging too.
And I'm not saying that everyone gets a piece of the pie but the head honchos and a billion serfs should have enough to keep them going for a while after 'refinement' 'streamlining' 'downsizing' 'restructuring' or whatever you want to call the process dropping the excess baggage.
Oh and if the devastating supply chain contagion collapse is going to happen anyway. Let's just say it really is cooked into the books and there's no way of avoiding its dramatic inevitability. Then why would the Decision Makers (who don't give a crap about the Hoi Polloi) go to all the trouble of putting them down before there's even a whiff of anything kicking off? Surely they would just allow the chaos to ensue and things would take care of themselves in a relatively short period of time. If they wanted they could drop gas bombs on unruly mobs. The rest would shrink away. They could use EMF to kill, maim or just defend the core. Some believe the infrastructure is in place for such a scenario. No need for the very cumbersome inoculation of 5 billion volunteers. That looks more like an experiment to me or a test to see where people stand.
So far it looks like 0.7% of global population have succumbed to the jabs. That's fatal reactions. Possibly hundreds of millions damaged but patched and mostly functional. Some maybe permanently chronically ill but not much more than usual given the state of health in developed countries. This demographic would just get their benefits, pensions and medications cut and that would be that. Mop up and move on.
If something kicks off in the next month or two then we may get that push over the edge that many appear to be lusting after but even then I wouldn't be surprised if something materialized out of left field to change the game yet again as it has done throughout our history.
But yeah... there's absolutely no point prepping.
Prepping just guarantees something terrible happening to you at the hands of raiders.
Yes...a puff of smoke from a chimney will bring very nasty people...
Anyone who thinks ONE man will change the world is a fool but those who follow and strengthen ONE strong man will make it!
Leaders don't matter.
You got it on target FE and my Chapter 13 concurs, except I projected a gradual decline rather than a sudden collapse - a prolonged Great Depression - but you may well be right - a Mad Max scenario: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/358117070_THE_FINANCIAL_JIGSAW_-_PART_1_-_4th_Edition_2020
So why not Nuclear Apocalypse then? The fastest way down, IMHO.
Most people would not be killed immediately if they launched the nukes... and you'd end up with the epic suffering they are looking to avoid...
if this plays out as I expect ... everyone contracts a severe pneumonia like disease and dies rather peacefully... like the chickens who die from severe Mareks