There is a tremendous amount of normalcy bias in the system. As long as the barnyard animals don't panic and keep spending BAU can probably last a lot longer than some of us think it can. I already have a bucket list trip to Greenland scheduled for next summer.
What will I be doing? I’ll be doing an algebra course online since I’m retaking Calculus, and finding internships and a job for the summer (If we make it to summer that is). If I was 10-20 years older and had money, I would be doing a lot LOT more, as I’d probably be much more accepting of such a scenario.
Edit:
I have been thinking that even if the amount of people dying is 10%, 20%, 40% or 60% in the scenario, the same result (Spent fuel burst) is probably going to happen anyway. Mainly with the U.S. the survivors in Bossche’s scenario are going to be disproportionately low skill hodunks with no complex understanding of how the world works. Can you imagine a world run by them?
I am fairly confident that 100% die... if that makes you feel better... it kinda makes me feel better cuz the main reason I don't want to die is that I miss out on stuff... if everyone is dead then there's nothing to miss out on!!!
I could also twist this as being a good thing ... a) you won't miss out on anything and b) life is generally quite stressful for most people ... so this solves that for everyone
In Greet’s scenario, not all the vaccinated are going to die. First off, anyone who had covid before the injections have their innate immune system trained and thus can survive. Furthermore, the form herd immunity that can ward off the virus, only 70% of the population has to be immuned. If the unvaxxies are 3b, then once we reach a total of 4.3b people, the disease will abate.
That’s kind of my point as I mentioned. The majority of deaths in this scenario are disproportionately in high income nations where most of the high skill labor is. Since high skill labor is required in managing nuclear plants, when the population needed to work them is significantly fractioned, said plants are neglected and the blanks can be filled in from there.
The scenario sucks because of the reasons I mentioned and there really isn’t much control in such a thing. But your point isn’t to fret on such things, but rather make the most of what time we all have.
It's not that I don't understand it because I have an understanding of the principles, it's more that my algebra was really rusty since it's been two years since I took Precalculus and three years since I took college algebra. It's actually quite a humbling experience. I also got a B+ on my Organic Chemistry II final. But yeah, it isn't really fair for me to talk down to people like that.
The world is using unbacked fiat currency to "pay" for current consumption. In other words, for now and the past century or so, an artificial construct of debt that requires all people to unwittingly embrace. Politicians love fiat because it means they can borrow to pay for the promises they make to get themselves elected and re elected. The fractional reserve banking system using debt-based central bank created fiat currency throws huge temporary distortions in markets. These can be absorbed, ie.., the debts "serviced" as long as there is low-cost easily accessible energy and raw materials.
So when the world finally calls bullshit on all our fake fiat currency and debt based system, then things will have to be paid for in real terms. Not IOU's or BNPL (buy now pay later) , BTC, Stablecoins, credit cards, tokenization of the rain forests, artificial financial instruments like derivatives. We will have to pay with real things and now because people will realize that all this debt and financialization is bullshit. No more cost shifting from the future to the present. It will be production, not promises.
People will have to cut back on all the niceties we once enjoyed. No more vacations or second homes or fancy cars etc.
Basically, the 20th-century largesse will begin to unwind. People will increasingly "cannibalize" their living standards to pay for essentials like food, energy, and shelter. And this is where the surreal self-reinforcing doom loop picks up speed. People can not afford to buy discretionary items. The economy slows down, and demand destruction gathers momentum. Oil producers can't stay in business, so it becomes a race to the bottom. Not necessarily a sprint, but a long grinding marathon nevertheless.
So all that bullshit about supply and demand that I learned in Econ 101 at my overpriced college only applies in our former universe where there was an endless supply of materials and energy, with substitution and where consumer "preference" existed because we had a choice back then.
The problem is productive people are carrying a huge parasitic load of non-producers. lawyers, politicians, bankers, venture capitalists, "financiers," "educators," and now everyone who wants to make a living by holding a microphone in one hand and being in front of a You Tube camera, actually wanting this chaos so they can make their living just reporting on it.
Everyone wants their free lunch to continue which is why voting to "protect our Democracy," is meaningless.
Our post box has been inundated with junk mail since we moved here... every single piece including the local community news goes directly into the bin...
Except today ... some cunt motherfucker sticks a 'market update' brochure down the hole ... of course it has the mobile numbers of two of the honchos....
In a RAGE... I ring the first one ... get VM... then I try the second one ... a pleasant voice answers... I ask if it is her market update in my post... no doubt thinking she might have a hot lead she says yes....
I then launch into a tirade.... telling her about my sign... it says NO JUNK MAIL and it means NO JUNK MAIL! etc etc.... (listen to the last bit of this to get an idea).... I then inform her that if this happens again I will march down there and shove the flyer up her ass.... Do YOU HEAR ME!! Do you UNDERSTAND? Then for good measure I hang up ... the hanging up without allowing a word in really rattles these fucking morons...
I just want to be objective but 99% of humans are parasites. There is no distinction. Human muscle energy vs work done by energy harnessed by hydrocarbons. Blue-collar workers at an assembly line, white office collar workers typing on excel spreadsheets -- it makes no difference. Complaining about the 4% of workers who get to enjoy at the expense of the rest is like complaining that you get to type this while African children mine cobalt and would probably make the same complaint at you ''white guy gets to sit TV and drink beer while I have to shovel shit 12 hours a day'.. Just call it a day, even if you removed all bankers or financialized persons because you felt jealousy and envious of their position, there is always someone beneath you that you could care less about. The productive people are farmers, miners and production staff. That's it, not AI, not entertainment, not software, not control systems.. at the very fundamental level. But their productivity is not driven by how many hours or how hard they work at pressing levers or putting units into one another but energy.
Most power back after blackouts hit 100K across New Orleans, surrounding areas
NEW ORLEANS – Entergy Louisiana and Entergy New Orleans have started periodic power outages for its customers. The company is taking this action as directed by its reliability coordinator, the Midcontinent Independent System Operator, as a last resort and in order to prevent a more extensive, prolonged power outage that could severely affect the reliability of the power grid. Additionally, Entergy continues to follow a directive by MISO to reduce load.
Depending on conditions, individual customers may experience multiple outages. MISO is directing actions to be taken to restore the system to normal operations as quickly as possible and will direct Entergy to stop these outages as soon as the power shortfall no longer threatens the integrity of the rest of the electrical power system.
NEW ORLEANS — More than 100,000 customers lost electricity during a series of rolling blackouts Sunday, but most power had been restored across New Orleans, Jefferson Parish, and the Northshore by the evening.
As Entergy worked to restore power, the utility announced that the mandatory power outages for Entergy Louisiana and Entergy New Orleans have ended.
MISO, the group that manages the electric grid, canceled its order for power outages in Entergy Louisiana and New Orleans. Power is back on for most customers. The outages were done to
prevent a bigger, longer blackout and keep the grid stable, representatives said.
City leaders said New Orleans took the hardest hit in what they said was a sudden, forced outage ordered by MISO with little warning. They’re demanding answers about the lack of notice and poor communication.
At one point the map showed 102, 771 customers were affected.
The power outage started around 4:30 p.m. The outage impacts the Eastbank of New Orleans and parts of Metairie.
Entergy said the outage was caused by a "load shed", which is when the power grid is close to capacity. So the grid operator told Entergy to shut part of it down for a time so it doesn't overload. The company said it does not have an estimated time for restoration at the moment.
This is what happens when capitalism prioritizes profits over maintenance and rebuilding. While it might be a symptom of systemic issues like resource depletion, the resources still do exist to have maintained the system better than it has been.
Russia - like every other energy producer - is fucked.... why wouldn't they be fucked? Do they some kinda miracle machine that defies depletion? Everyone seems to think that for some reason Russia is exempt.
Your source is a guy writing for the Kiev insider :)))))))) the same Kiev insider: https://kyivinsider.com/ that spews non stop bullshit war propaganda. Weren't they the ones "informing" us that putin was soon going to die from cancer 3 years ago and that some Ukraine babushka stopped some Russian military with an old shotgun while the ghost of Kiev was shooting down dozens of Russian planes. :))))))
Common eddy. You can do much better. The oil is indeeded getting harder to get but your source credibility is a big fat ZERO.
The source of the news appears to be RIA Novosti (https://ria.ru/20250523/neft-2018543539.html), which is a Russian propaganda news outlet, so the Ukrainians merely copied what was published there.
Russia Reclaims Its Position as Europe’s Top Gas Supplier - Russia has surpassed the U.S. as the primary supplier of gas to Europe, despite efforts by the region to reduce reliance on Russian energy sources. https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/you-are-being-1984ed
Really??? There is no mention of any gazprom ceo in that ria.ru article.
Some of its content translated to the brutish anglo saxon tongue:
“For example, in 2019, the level of profitable reserves in the Russian Federation was estimated at 20 years, now - already at 26 years. It turns out that if geological exploration continues, then in five years the estimate of profitable oil reserves in Russia may remain at the level of 26 years.”
“Firstly, oil resources in Russia are much larger and are estimated at 95 billion tons. Thanks to geological exploration, 31 billion tons have been transferred to the reserves balance, and only 13 billion of them have been recognized as profitable. If current production is maintained at an average level of 500 million tons, it turns out that these 13 billion will be used up in 26 years.”
ups. It looks like the Kiev propaganda bullcrap has nothing to do with the ria.ru article. Now fuck off!
Most people don’t understand or appreciate the importance and implications of the dwindling nature of our hydrocarbon resources. Apart from all the other shenanigans our ruling caste will engage in—in their attempts to keep their revenue streams flowing—I expect evermore geopolitical gamesmanship to occur regarding the nation states that hold the largest proven reserves: Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Iran, and Iraq.
I drive from Perth up the west coast to Broome ... then continue along the coast to Derby ... crossing the Gibb River Road (taking many of the side tracks to the various sights)... then onwards to Kununurra
It looks like that would be about 3000 km there. That is one hell of a long drive. Closest I came to that was escaping Canada during the hell they unleashed, and driving to the south of Mexico.
Keep an eye on this ... not only in the US... if buyers keep demanding higher yields... this has the potential to blow up the global economy
The Bond Market Is Fed Up with Fiscal Irresponsibility, Yields Surge
https://mishtalk.com/economics/the-bond-market-is-fed-up-with-fiscal-irresponsibility-yields-surge/
There is a tremendous amount of normalcy bias in the system. As long as the barnyard animals don't panic and keep spending BAU can probably last a lot longer than some of us think it can. I already have a bucket list trip to Greenland scheduled for next summer.
Normalcy bias... supported by the many lies from the Ministry of Truth ... are all that are keeping this train on the tracks.
What will I be doing? I’ll be doing an algebra course online since I’m retaking Calculus, and finding internships and a job for the summer (If we make it to summer that is). If I was 10-20 years older and had money, I would be doing a lot LOT more, as I’d probably be much more accepting of such a scenario.
Edit:
I have been thinking that even if the amount of people dying is 10%, 20%, 40% or 60% in the scenario, the same result (Spent fuel burst) is probably going to happen anyway. Mainly with the U.S. the survivors in Bossche’s scenario are going to be disproportionately low skill hodunks with no complex understanding of how the world works. Can you imagine a world run by them?
I am fairly confident that 100% die... if that makes you feel better... it kinda makes me feel better cuz the main reason I don't want to die is that I miss out on stuff... if everyone is dead then there's nothing to miss out on!!!
I could also twist this as being a good thing ... a) you won't miss out on anything and b) life is generally quite stressful for most people ... so this solves that for everyone
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/financial-system-supply-chain-cross
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/the-utter-futility-of-doomsday-prepping
In Greet’s scenario, not all the vaccinated are going to die. First off, anyone who had covid before the injections have their innate immune system trained and thus can survive. Furthermore, the form herd immunity that can ward off the virus, only 70% of the population has to be immuned. If the unvaxxies are 3b, then once we reach a total of 4.3b people, the disease will abate.
GVB is unaware of any of this
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/financial-system-supply-chain-cross
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/the-utter-futility-of-doomsday-prepping
Everyone dies
That’s kind of my point as I mentioned. The majority of deaths in this scenario are disproportionately in high income nations where most of the high skill labor is. Since high skill labor is required in managing nuclear plants, when the population needed to work them is significantly fractioned, said plants are neglected and the blanks can be filled in from there.
The scenario sucks because of the reasons I mentioned and there really isn’t much control in such a thing. But your point isn’t to fret on such things, but rather make the most of what time we all have.
Don't insult the podunks when you couldn't even do Calculus ...
Math is on the list https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/the-greatest-disasters-in-human-history
It's not that I don't understand it because I have an understanding of the principles, it's more that my algebra was really rusty since it's been two years since I took Precalculus and three years since I took college algebra. It's actually quite a humbling experience. I also got a B+ on my Organic Chemistry II final. But yeah, it isn't really fair for me to talk down to people like that.
The world is using unbacked fiat currency to "pay" for current consumption. In other words, for now and the past century or so, an artificial construct of debt that requires all people to unwittingly embrace. Politicians love fiat because it means they can borrow to pay for the promises they make to get themselves elected and re elected. The fractional reserve banking system using debt-based central bank created fiat currency throws huge temporary distortions in markets. These can be absorbed, ie.., the debts "serviced" as long as there is low-cost easily accessible energy and raw materials.
So when the world finally calls bullshit on all our fake fiat currency and debt based system, then things will have to be paid for in real terms. Not IOU's or BNPL (buy now pay later) , BTC, Stablecoins, credit cards, tokenization of the rain forests, artificial financial instruments like derivatives. We will have to pay with real things and now because people will realize that all this debt and financialization is bullshit. No more cost shifting from the future to the present. It will be production, not promises.
People will have to cut back on all the niceties we once enjoyed. No more vacations or second homes or fancy cars etc.
Basically, the 20th-century largesse will begin to unwind. People will increasingly "cannibalize" their living standards to pay for essentials like food, energy, and shelter. And this is where the surreal self-reinforcing doom loop picks up speed. People can not afford to buy discretionary items. The economy slows down, and demand destruction gathers momentum. Oil producers can't stay in business, so it becomes a race to the bottom. Not necessarily a sprint, but a long grinding marathon nevertheless.
So all that bullshit about supply and demand that I learned in Econ 101 at my overpriced college only applies in our former universe where there was an endless supply of materials and energy, with substitution and where consumer "preference" existed because we had a choice back then.
The problem is productive people are carrying a huge parasitic load of non-producers. lawyers, politicians, bankers, venture capitalists, "financiers," "educators," and now everyone who wants to make a living by holding a microphone in one hand and being in front of a You Tube camera, actually wanting this chaos so they can make their living just reporting on it.
Everyone wants their free lunch to continue which is why voting to "protect our Democracy," is meaningless.
Do property agents make the list?
Our post box has been inundated with junk mail since we moved here... every single piece including the local community news goes directly into the bin...
So I stick this on the box https://www.temu.com/au/-mail-sign-for-mailbox-no-caller-sign-for-front-door-wall-suitable-for-mailbox-front-door-wall-waterproof-fade-resistant-strong-and-durable-g-601099896511942.html
Except today ... some cunt motherfucker sticks a 'market update' brochure down the hole ... of course it has the mobile numbers of two of the honchos....
In a RAGE... I ring the first one ... get VM... then I try the second one ... a pleasant voice answers... I ask if it is her market update in my post... no doubt thinking she might have a hot lead she says yes....
I then launch into a tirade.... telling her about my sign... it says NO JUNK MAIL and it means NO JUNK MAIL! etc etc.... (listen to the last bit of this to get an idea).... I then inform her that if this happens again I will march down there and shove the flyer up her ass.... Do YOU HEAR ME!! Do you UNDERSTAND? Then for good measure I hang up ... the hanging up without allowing a word in really rattles these fucking morons...
Then I had a laugh with Hoolio and we took a nap.
Hopefully the Ripping of Faces begins soon....
Look on the bright side Eddy.. Hi grade Bolivian blow is one of the few things NOT made from oil. 😂
And no more lead deficiency in everyone's diet.
I just want to be objective but 99% of humans are parasites. There is no distinction. Human muscle energy vs work done by energy harnessed by hydrocarbons. Blue-collar workers at an assembly line, white office collar workers typing on excel spreadsheets -- it makes no difference. Complaining about the 4% of workers who get to enjoy at the expense of the rest is like complaining that you get to type this while African children mine cobalt and would probably make the same complaint at you ''white guy gets to sit TV and drink beer while I have to shovel shit 12 hours a day'.. Just call it a day, even if you removed all bankers or financialized persons because you felt jealousy and envious of their position, there is always someone beneath you that you could care less about. The productive people are farmers, miners and production staff. That's it, not AI, not entertainment, not software, not control systems.. at the very fundamental level. But their productivity is not driven by how many hours or how hard they work at pressing levers or putting units into one another but energy.
Power cycling in New Orleans yesterday
Most power back after blackouts hit 100K across New Orleans, surrounding areas
NEW ORLEANS – Entergy Louisiana and Entergy New Orleans have started periodic power outages for its customers. The company is taking this action as directed by its reliability coordinator, the Midcontinent Independent System Operator, as a last resort and in order to prevent a more extensive, prolonged power outage that could severely affect the reliability of the power grid. Additionally, Entergy continues to follow a directive by MISO to reduce load.
Depending on conditions, individual customers may experience multiple outages. MISO is directing actions to be taken to restore the system to normal operations as quickly as possible and will direct Entergy to stop these outages as soon as the power shortfall no longer threatens the integrity of the rest of the electrical power system.
NEW ORLEANS — More than 100,000 customers lost electricity during a series of rolling blackouts Sunday, but most power had been restored across New Orleans, Jefferson Parish, and the Northshore by the evening.
As Entergy worked to restore power, the utility announced that the mandatory power outages for Entergy Louisiana and Entergy New Orleans have ended.
MISO, the group that manages the electric grid, canceled its order for power outages in Entergy Louisiana and New Orleans. Power is back on for most customers. The outages were done to
prevent a bigger, longer blackout and keep the grid stable, representatives said.
https://www.wwltv.com/article/news/local/new-orleans-power-outage-entergy/289-bd123fe1-cf77-40ff-a4e1-9cc42ad6e9f3
City leaders said New Orleans took the hardest hit in what they said was a sudden, forced outage ordered by MISO with little warning. They’re demanding answers about the lack of notice and poor communication.
At one point the map showed 102, 771 customers were affected.
The power outage started around 4:30 p.m. The outage impacts the Eastbank of New Orleans and parts of Metairie.
Entergy said the outage was caused by a "load shed", which is when the power grid is close to capacity. So the grid operator told Entergy to shut part of it down for a time so it doesn't overload. The company said it does not have an estimated time for restoration at the moment.
This is what happens when capitalism prioritizes profits over maintenance and rebuilding. While it might be a symptom of systemic issues like resource depletion, the resources still do exist to have maintained the system better than it has been.
The power companies are state monopolies in America.
This is what happens in poor countries all the time. (literal plot to movie "Hangover 2")
Fatal air crash in San Diego
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LhKoCxxajfk
Did it collapse any house 100 meters away or magic planes like that only manifested themselves on 9/11?
The thing is ... why are they laying off staff when there is no war?
Gazprom, Russia's energy giant, is discussing a 40% cut to its HQ staff as the war keeps Moscow cut off from Western customers
https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-gazprom-cut-manager-staff-war-energy-ukraine-2025-1
Moscow is NOT cutting off it's western customers
Jun 17, 2024, 3:00 PM CD Russia Reclaims Its Position as Europe’s Top Gas Supplier - Russia has surpassed the U.S. as the primary supplier of gas to Europe, despite efforts by the region to reduce reliance on Russian energy sources. https://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Russia-Reclaims-Its-Position-as-Europes-Top-Gas-Supplier.html#google_vignette
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/you-are-being-1984ed
Russia - like every other energy producer - is fucked.... why wouldn't they be fucked? Do they some kinda miracle machine that defies depletion? Everyone seems to think that for some reason Russia is exempt.
It is NOT
Your source is a guy writing for the Kiev insider :)))))))) the same Kiev insider: https://kyivinsider.com/ that spews non stop bullshit war propaganda. Weren't they the ones "informing" us that putin was soon going to die from cancer 3 years ago and that some Ukraine babushka stopped some Russian military with an old shotgun while the ghost of Kiev was shooting down dozens of Russian planes. :))))))
Common eddy. You can do much better. The oil is indeeded getting harder to get but your source credibility is a big fat ZERO.
The source of the news appears to be RIA Novosti (https://ria.ru/20250523/neft-2018543539.html), which is a Russian propaganda news outlet, so the Ukrainians merely copied what was published there.
Read and Learn (R&L)
Russia Reclaims Its Position as Europe’s Top Gas Supplier - Russia has surpassed the U.S. as the primary supplier of gas to Europe, despite efforts by the region to reduce reliance on Russian energy sources. https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/you-are-being-1984ed
There is no war in Ukraine...
https://fasteddynz.substack.com/p/is-russia-running-out-of-gas
Really??? There is no mention of any gazprom ceo in that ria.ru article.
Some of its content translated to the brutish anglo saxon tongue:
“For example, in 2019, the level of profitable reserves in the Russian Federation was estimated at 20 years, now - already at 26 years. It turns out that if geological exploration continues, then in five years the estimate of profitable oil reserves in Russia may remain at the level of 26 years.”
“Firstly, oil resources in Russia are much larger and are estimated at 95 billion tons. Thanks to geological exploration, 31 billion tons have been transferred to the reserves balance, and only 13 billion of them have been recognized as profitable. If current production is maintained at an average level of 500 million tons, it turns out that these 13 billion will be used up in 26 years.”
ups. It looks like the Kiev propaganda bullcrap has nothing to do with the ria.ru article. Now fuck off!
Most people don’t understand or appreciate the importance and implications of the dwindling nature of our hydrocarbon resources. Apart from all the other shenanigans our ruling caste will engage in—in their attempts to keep their revenue streams flowing—I expect evermore geopolitical gamesmanship to occur regarding the nation states that hold the largest proven reserves: Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Canada, Iran, and Iraq.
How do you get to "The Kimberley"? Do you fly to Darwin, and then hire a Sand Worm?
I drive from Perth up the west coast to Broome ... then continue along the coast to Derby ... crossing the Gibb River Road (taking many of the side tracks to the various sights)... then onwards to Kununurra
It looks like that would be about 3000 km there. That is one hell of a long drive. Closest I came to that was escaping Canada during the hell they unleashed, and driving to the south of Mexico.
It does look like an excellent trip.